Oil spill & oil pollution modelling

Oil spill modelling that turns an incident into a clear decision

MarCast delivers validated oil spill and oil pollution modelling — predicting where spilled hydrocarbons will drift, how they weather and which shorelines are at risk — fast enough to act on in real time, accurate enough to defend in a report.

What we model

Oil spill modelling across the full incident lifecycle

Oil spill trajectory & drift

Forecast where oil will travel under wind, current and tide so responders can position resources and protect sensitive sites.

Dispersion & weathering

Model evaporation, emulsification, natural dispersion and how the oil changes over time on and below the surface.

Shoreline & resource impact

Predict which coastlines, habitats and assets are exposed, and when, to prioritise protection and clean-up.

Rapid response runs

Set up a scenario in minutes during a live incident and update the forecast as conditions change.

Contingency & risk planning

Build oil spill contingency plans, EIAs and safety cases on robust, repeatable modelling.

Audit-ready outputs

Export maps and reports for responders, regulators and stakeholders.

Common questions

Frequently asked

What is oil spill modelling?

Oil spill modelling uses ocean current, wind and tidal data to predict how spilled oil will drift, disperse, weather and reach shorelines, supporting both emergency response and contingency planning.

How fast can MarCast produce an oil spill forecast?

Because the modelling is built to be intuitive, a scenario can be set up and run in minutes rather than waiting days for a specialist turnaround.

Can you model oil weathering as well as drift?

Yes. Modelling covers trajectory and drift alongside weathering processes such as evaporation, emulsification and natural dispersion.

Do you offer oil spill modelling as software or consultancy?

Both — run validated models yourself through cloud-based software, or commission our team to deliver the study for you using the same validated engine.

Need this modelled?

Tell us about your incident type or planning need and we'll recommend the right MarCast software or service.

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